Forecasting of airport extension delays and their consequences for the whole air traffic system are the aim of the Airport Capacity Constraints Forecast Model. Delays are mainly caused by lengthy planning and approval procedures and possible lawsuits.
Extension delays may occur and range from a few years to even several decades - depending on the socio-economic development, the geographic location of the airport, the extent by which the population is affected by noise, and intermodal substitution. If the capacity of an airport does not meet the total demand potential, a considerable number of passengers may depart from other airports so that the capacity constraints are met. Modelling of the individual demand decision at a dissagregated level allows for a detailed analysis of the consequences of restricted airport capacity on traffic developments per airport.
Airport Capacity Constraints Forecast Model (Download PDF [german])