Both scenarios assume that energy consumption and energy supply will change fundamentally, that renewable energies will be massively expanded, that there will be significant increases in efficiency and that electricity and synthetic fuels will be increasingly used in the heating and mobility sectors.
The DLR Institute of Vehicle Concepts has developed detailed modelling of future mobility and the resulting energy requirements for the study.
The transport scenarios assume that in 2050, around 60 per cent of all buses and heavy goods vehicles will be battery-electric and around 20 per cent will be powered by fuel cells. The engines of the remaining buses and lorries will run on synthetic or biogenic fuels. For the global passenger car fleet, the study assumes that around nine out of ten vehicles will be powered by electricity or hydrogen by 2050. Compared to the 2.0-degree scenario, the 1.5-degree scenario requires even earlier and faster electrification, particularly in industrialised countries. In the long term, synthetic fuels will play an important role in achieving climate neutrality in both scenarios, especially in aviation and shipping.
Client
Leonardo Di Caprio Foundation
Project partners
• DLR-Institut für Fahrzeugkonzepte
• DLR-Institut für Technische Thermodynamik
• University of Technology (UTS) / Institute for Sustainable Futures (ISF)
• University of Melbourne
Duration
12/2017 until 01/2019