BeCoM

  

Project title

Better Contrail Mitigation

Goal

Significant reduction (>50%) or elimination of the global mean contrail radiative forcing

Period

01.06.2022 - 31.05.2026

Funded by

European Union

Project lead

Technische Universiteit Delft

Forecast of ice supersaturation in ICON
Example of a forecast of ice supersaturation at cruise altitude using the current weather model of the German Weather Service. Ice supersaturation hardly ever occurs, making it difficult to forecast areas where contrails are long-lived.
Forecast of ice supersaturation with DIPS
Example of a forecast of ice supersaturation at cruise altitude with the experimental programme DIPS, developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics. Ice supersaturation occurs much more frequently.

Aviation currently contributes around 3.5 % to total anthropogenic climate change. About two thirds of the climate impact of aviation is caused by non-CO2 climate effects, which include physical processes (cloud formation) and chemical reactions (e.g. ozone production).

One of the most obvious and significant non-CO2 effects is the formation of visible contrails, which can grow into long-lasting contrail cirrus clouds in ice supersaturated regions. The prevailing meteorological conditions (in particular temperature and humidity) have a decisive influence on the atmospheric lifetime of contrails. Depending on the radiation conditions (zenith angle of the sun, other clouds and brightness of the ground), contrails can have a warming or cooling effect, as they both scatter solar radiation back into space and thus cool, as well as retain radiation emitted from the earth's surface in the atmosphere. Depending on the type of aircraft, flight region, altitude, time of day and current weather, the climate effect of a contrail can therefore vary greatly. Averaged over the globe and day and night, however, contrail cirrus lead to a significant warming of the atmosphere.

The strong variability of relative humidity and the lack of regular measurements at the cruise altitudes, as well as strong simplifications in the weather models, make it difficult to predict ice-supersaturated regions and thus the lifetimes of contrails. The EU-funded BeCoM (Better Contrail Mitigation) project therefore aims to reduce the uncertainties in the prediction of long-lived contrails and their weather-dependent climate impact. The task of the DLR Institute of Atmospheric Physics is to find an efficient way to better account for ice supersaturation in weather models.

Project participants

  • Technische Universiteit Delft
  • Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
  • Deutscher Wetterdienst
  • Thales Research and Technology
  • ECATS International Association
  • Envisa

Related Links

Contact

Prof. Dr. Anja Schmidt

Head of Department
Institute of Atmospheric Physics
Earth System Modelling for Aeronautics, Space, Transport and Energy
Münchner Straße 20, 82234 Oberpfaffenhofen-Wessling