Predictability of flow in the mesosphere/lower thermosphere
Predictability of flow in the mesosphere/lower thermosphere
Schematic showing key processes that affect the predictability of flow in the mesosphere/lower thermosphere (MLT) over lead time since starting the forecast. Gray arrows denote propagation of perturbations ("errors") via small-scale motions and orange arrows highlight more predictable large-scale flow components, leading to predictable circulations in the MLT for lead times up to 10–20 days.
