Our forecasts are based on extensive data sources, including national and international air traffic statistics, economic and demographic data, industry-specific analyses, as well as exclusive access to flight databases and market studies.
What are the applications of air transport forecasts?
Air transport forecasts support various areas, including airport planning, the expansion of transport infrastructure, the optimisation of flight routes, market analyses for airlines, and environmental assessments related to noise and emissions.
How accurate are the forecasts?
The accuracy depends on various factors, including the quality of available data and the modelling methods used. Our forecasts are based on scientifically validated methods and take into account different scenarios to present a realistic range of possible developments.
Can forecasts be created for individual airports or entire regions?
Yes, we provide detailed forecasts for individual airports as well as large-scale analyses for countries or regions, depending on the requirements and specific research questions.
Can forecasts also be developed for specific scenarios?
Yes, we can tailor forecasts for specific scenarios, such as the introduction of new flight routes, the implementation of innovative propulsion technologies like hydrogen or electric aircraft, or the assessment of regulatory changes. In doing so, we consider current market developments, technological advancements, and economic conditions.
How is the DLR air transport forecast produced?
The forecasting process begins with your enquiry and a detailed description of your requirements. Our expert team then analyses the research question and determines the appropriate forecasting methodology. In the subsequent evaluation phase, relevant data is collected, verified, and modelled. Following scientific analysis and validation of the results, we create a customised forecast that meets your specific requirements.
Is there a follow-up discussion of the results?
Support is available even after project completion, for example, in interpreting the results.
How long does the process take from initial contact to completion?
Once we receive your enquiry, you will receive a response within a few working days with details on the offer, process, and any open questions. The project duration depends on the complexity of the analysis: standardised reports, such as forecasts on passenger development or flight connections at an airport, can be prepared in a short time. More extensive analyses require detailed data collection and modelling, which extends the processing time accordingly.
What does a standardised air transport forecast for passenger numbers and flight connections look like?
A typical standardised forecast, which can be created in a short time for specific study cases such as future passenger numbers at an airport up to 2050, includes the following elements:
Executive Summary: A brief summary of the key findings and forecasts.
Framework Conditions: Overview of economic, political, and technological influencing factors.
Global Developments: A review of worldwide air traffic trends, growth rates, and regional developments applied to the specific airport.
Passenger Development at the Airport:
Analysis of historical data and current trends.
Forecast of flight connections.
Projections for future passenger volume development, considering different scenarios.
Do you have further questions?
Feel free to contact us – we are happy to assist you!
